KG4VPY

August 8th, 2006

Active Atlantic

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 03:06

From the NHC:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW-PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING…ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO POSSIBLY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

A NON-TROPICAL LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT…IF ANY…IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER HISPANIOLA…THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS…AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

Images:
Meteosat-8 Full Disk IR
GOES-East Western Atlantic - IR
GOES-East Central Atlantic - IR

Mess in the West Pacific

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 02:55

There are three storms in the west Pacific.

large version

Typhoon Saomai (18.8N, 138.1E) has winds of 75 knots; Tropical Storm Bopha (22.9N, 128.2E) has winds of 65 knots; and Tropical Storm Maria (30.4N, 137.9E) has weinds of 60 knots.

Image from Operational Significant Event Imagery (OSEI).

OSEI’s Atlantic Tropical archive

August 7th, 2006

Tropical Wave Grows

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 04:30

From the NHC:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN AUG 6 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS EVENING WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

Images:
Meteosat-8 - East Atlantic IR | Full Disk IR

August 5th, 2006

TD Chris and More Waves

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 16:13

From the NHC:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS ARE LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REGENERATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING IS PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. SURFACE PRESSURE ARE HIGH IN THE AREA AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

Images:
GOES-East Storm Floater - Visible (TDChris)
GOES-East Gulf/Atlantic Tropical Sector - Visible (TDChris)
GOES-East Gulf Hurricane Sector - Visible | IR
Meteosat-8 East Atlantic - Visible

August 3rd, 2006

Tropical Storm Chris

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 02:01

Get the latest advisory from the NHC on TS Chris

Graphics from the NHC:

3 Day Forecasted Path
3 day forecast path

5 Day Forecasted Path
5 day forecast path

8/2 Images:

5 Day Forecasted Path - larger version

GOES-East Storm Floater - IR

8/3 Images:

GOES-East Storm Event Sector - Montserrat - IR

GOES-East Atlantic Sector - IR (b/w)

GOES-East Caribbean - IR

August 1st, 2006

Tropical Storm Chris

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 14:01

The NHC began issuing advisories concerning Tropical Depression 3 late last night.

A few hours later, TD3 became TS Chris.

The most recent public advisories can be found at the NHC site.

Here is part of the latest one:

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
800 AM AST TUE AUG 01 2006

…CHRIS HEADED TOWARD THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS…

(snipped)

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON TO PROVIDE A MORE ACCURATE ESTIMATE OF THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF CHRIS.

(snipped)

Images:
TS Chris Album

July 30th, 2006

Tropical Waves

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 14:23

From the NHC:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN JUL 30 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT…THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA…HISPANIOLA…PUERTO RICO…AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS PUERTO RICO…THE VIRGIN ISLANDS…AND EASTERN HISPANIOLA.

Images:
GOES-East Central Atlantic - Visible
GOES-East Caribbean - Visible
GOES-East Atlantic Hurricane Sector - Visible

July 28th, 2006

Tropical Waves

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 19:52

From the NHC:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA TO COLOMBIA. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS…SHOWERS… AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. HOWEVER…SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Images:
GOES-East Storm Floater - Visible | IR
GOES-East Atlantic Hurricane Sector - Visible
Meteosat-8 East Atlantic - Visible | IR

July 27th, 2006

Tropical Waves

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 00:23

From the NHC:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED JUL 26 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN HOUSTON AND SAN ANTONIO TEXAS IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS…AND ADJACENT GULF WATERS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER LAND. THEREFORE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NO LONGER POSSIBLE. HOWEVER…THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. FOR ADDITIONAL AND FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SYSTEM…PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS AND FORECAST FROM YOUR LOCAL NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE, AND STORM SUMMARIES FROM THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER ACUS43 KWBC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDSCCNS3.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. WHILE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED… UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR ANY RAPID ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

Images
Texas/Gulf:
GOES-East Gulf Hurricane Sector - IR
GOES-East Storm Floater - IR | Visible

Atlantic/Antilles:
GOES-East Storm Floater - IR | Visible

July 25th, 2006

Gulf Storm and Tropical Wave

Filed under: Hurricane — webmaster @ 17:02

From the NHC’s Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS IS MOVING NORTHWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS… THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. THE SYSTEM CENTER IS OVER LAND AND IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THEREFORE…TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER…IF THE CENTER DOES EMERGE OVER THE GULF…A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS…THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MEXICO… SOUTHERN TEXAS…AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL…AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED.

Images:
GOES-East Gulf Hurricane Sector - Visible
GOES-East Storm Floater - IR
Meteosat-8 - Visible
Fulldisk - Visible (Includes the Pacific’s Emilia; the storm in the Gulf; and Trop Wave in eastern Atlantic)

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